Kenyataan oleh MIER executive director Dr Zakariah Abdul Rashid bahawa inflasi makin meningkat mengesahkan jangkaan petunjukzaman dalam tulisan yang lepas akan meningkatnya meningkatnya inflasi yang menyebabkan kenaikan harga barang berdasarkan statistik CPI terkini yang dikeluarkan oleh jabatan perangkaan Malaysia. Trend kenaikan CPI didapati meningkat seperti tahun 2008 yang menyaksikan kenaikan harga barang melampau.
Langkah kerajaan tidak lama lagi untuk mengenakan cukai GST diatas setiap barangan keperluan dan runcit akan memburukkan lagi keadaan memandangkan tidak ada peningkatan pendapatan rakyat yang setimpal akibat dasar-dasar ekonomi yang tidak seimbang. Dasar kerajaan untuk mengenakan cukai GST ialah untuk meringankan beban koperat dan langkah singkat untuk menambahkan pendapatan negara dengan membebankan keatas rakyat adalah langkah yang kurang rasional.
Janji kerajaan untuk menjadikan rakyat berpendapatan tinggi belum lagi menjadi kenyataan, tetapi rakyat telah dibebankan dengan berbagai-bagai kenaikan seperti minyak, gas, utiliti dan barang-barang keperluan. Rakyat masih lagi menunggu apakah langkah kerajaan bagi mengatasi kenaikan tersebut bukan pengumuman kenaikan harga barang atau perkhidmatan yang di umumkan hampir tiap-tiap bulan oleh pelbagai syarikat awam atau swasta.
Malaysia's Inflation seen peaking in June
KUALA LUMPUR: The average wage-earner may find this hard to believe but inflation is seen peaking in June at 3.8% from a year ago after the recent hikes on electricity tariff and gas prices.
Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (Mier) executive director Dr Zakariah Abdul Rashid said in a briefing yesterday that the consumer price index (CPI), having risen to a two-year high in May, would likely peak in June.
He said inflation, which had been supported by higher food prices, would be more broad-based going forward and that the gross domestic product (GDP) growth for this year remained unchanged at 5.2%.
GDP for the first quarter expanded by 4.6% compared to a year ago and economists expect growth to be slower in the second quarter as exports continued to drop.
A Mier report on the Malaysian Economic Outlook for the second quarter noted that inflation would probably average at 3.5% in the second half of the year “with upside risks from indirect second-round effects” stemming from the tariff and gas price hikes with inflation averaging 3.3% next year.
The report said there would be at least one more 25-basis point hike in the overnight policy rate (OPR) this year due to inflationary pressure and another 25-basis point hike next year, bringing the OPR to 3.5%.
The Statistics Department would be releasing June's CPI data next Wednesday and economists in a Bloomberg survey expect inflation to gain a median 3.6% year-on-year.
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